Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on July 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 13?
33°C 37%
32°C 37%
31°C 16%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
37%
33°C
32%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 37%
31°C 16%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 13, 2026
28°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
29°C
$4 KL.
2%
30°C
$4 KL.
4%
31°C
$12 KL.
16%
32°C
$19 KL.
37%
33°C
$9 KL.
32%
34°C
$11 KL.
12%
35°C
$0 KL.
5%
36°C
$5 KL.
<1%
37°C
$39 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$103Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$103Ngày kết thúc
Jul 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts place Milan's July 13 maximum near 32–33 °C at official stations, creating the tight 36.5 %–30 % split in market-implied odds. Clear skies and subsiding high pressure favor strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while modest southeasterly flow and urban heat-island effects in the Po Valley add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave or add a degree at peak afternoon heating. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will likely tighten or shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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