Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on July 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 11?
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
31°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
26%
29°C
41%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
31°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 11, 2026
24°C or below
$1,126 KL.
<1%
25°C
$242 KL.
<1%
26°C
$367 KL.
1%
27°C
$481 KL.
3%
28°C
$832 KL.
26%
29°C
$3,379 KL.
41%
30°C
$314 KL.
22%
31°C
$303 KL.
6%
32°C
$837 KL.
3%
33°C
$300 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$383 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,564Ngày kết thúc
Jul 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,564Ngày kết thúc
Jul 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, with its associated cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moisture influx, represents the main driver keeping Manila's July 11 daytime maximum near or below seasonal norms. Official PAGASA outlooks currently indicate highs of 29–30°C amid frequent showers that limit solar heating, consistent with historical July averages around 31°C but tempered by active monsoon conditions. Key variables include the timing and intensity of convective rain, model spreads on cloud thickness, and any shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief clearing and higher peaks. The broad market distribution across 28–31°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on the official observed maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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