Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on July 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 10?
10°C 95.4%
11°C 4.0%
12°C <1%
4°C or below <1%
MỚI
$68,605 KL.
MỚI
$68,605 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
95%
11°C
4%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 95.4%
11°C 4.0%
12°C <1%
4°C or below <1%
MỚI
$68,605 KL.
MỚI
$68,605 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
4°C or below
$2,573 KL.
<1%
5°C
$1,515 KL.
<1%
6°C
$694 KL.
<1%
7°C
$1,418 KL.
<1%
8°C
$5,804 KL.
<1%
9°C
$20,901 KL.
<1%
10°C
$17,787 KL.
95%
11°C
$8,711 KL.
4%
12°C
$4,268 KL.
<1%
13°C
$1,674 KL.
<1%
14°C or higher
$3,260 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$68,605Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$68,605Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and climatological data position 9–11°C as the most probable daily maximum for Wellington on July 10, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-winter conditions typically feature average highs near 12°C, moderated by frequent southerly flows that advect cooler maritime air, along with variable cloud cover and showers that suppress daytime peaks. Recent MetService guidance notes strengthening southerlies and possible rain around the 9–10th, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicates near- or below-average temperatures for the region. Traders appear to discount warmer anomalies given model consensus on limited warming and typical July variability of 2–3°C day-to-day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp