In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on July 11?
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
30°C 9%
33°C 7.0%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
30°C 9%
33°C 7.0%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
29%
32°C
38%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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