Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 10?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 10?
33°C 41%
32°C 31%
31°C 18.5%
34°C 15%
MỚI
$36,365 KL.
MỚI
$36,365 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
19%
32°C
31%
33°C
41%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 31%
31°C 18.5%
34°C 15%
MỚI
$36,365 KL.
MỚI
$36,365 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
$1,412 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,845 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,629 KL.
<1%
29°C
$3,376 KL.
1%
30°C
$4,709 KL.
3%
31°C
$3,315 KL.
19%
32°C
$3,539 KL.
31%
33°C
$3,596 KL.
41%
34°C
$4,721 KL.
15%
35°C
$5,170 KL.
2%
36°C or higher
$4,068 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,365Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$36,365Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen point to a July 10 maximum near 33–34 °C under typical East Asian summer monsoon flow, with high humidity and variable cloud cover as the dominant controls on daytime heating. Subtle differences in model guidance for convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze strength create the tight spread among the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C brackets that traders currently favor. Historical July climatology places the most probable outcomes in this narrow band, while urban heat-island effects and limited recent rainfall keep the distribution anchored near the upper end of the seasonal average. Updated runs from regional models and any new tropical moisture signals in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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