Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime maximum of 13°C in Moscow on October 2 under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no precipitation, with overnight lows near +3°C. Multiple independent models and real-time observations align on this peak, consistent with early-autumn climatology where average highs hover near 12–13°C. The market-implied odds reflect this consensus backed by verified station data and steering patterns that limit further warming. A realistic challenge would require rapid advection of warmer air or measurement discrepancies at official sites, though current atmospheric stability makes significant deviation improbable before resolution.