Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 3?
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
$25 KL.
2%
70-71°F
$109 KL.
2%
72-73°F
$14 KL.
9%
74-75°F
$30 KL.
24%
76-77°F
$704 KL.
36%
78-79°F
$88 KL.
20%
80-81°F
$26 KL.
15%
82-83°F
$16 KL.
5%
84-85°F
$50 KL.
1%
86-87°F
$20 KL.
2%
88°F or higher
$111 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,194Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,194Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 3, 2026, highlight a modest warming trend amid a broader California heat wave, with the marine layer and onshore flow expected to moderate coastal temperatures into the mid-70s. This positions the 76-77°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 68-70°F but frequently reach the mid-70s when high pressure weakens the sea breeze. Lower probabilities for 80°F+ reflect the persistent cooling influence of the Pacific, while colder bins align with stronger onshore winds. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine land-sea temperature gradients and confirm the exact maximum at the official KSFO station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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