Trader consensus around 22–24°C for São Paulo’s July 30 high reflects ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing modest daytime warming under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing some solar heating during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office currently indicate a peak near 20–21°C, consistent with July climatology of 22–24°C averages at the Guarulhos reference station, though urban heat-island effects and exact timing of maximum temperature introduce 1–2°C run-to-run variability. The tight spread across outcomes stems from these small differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for brief cloud increases, with new model updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 30?
23°C 35%
22°C 33%
21°C 18%
24°C 15%
MỚI
$21,013 KL.
MỚI
$21,013 KL.
Jul 30, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
18%
22°C
33%
23°C
35%
24°C
15%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 33%
21°C 18%
24°C 15%
MỚI
$21,013 KL.
MỚI
$21,013 KL.
Jul 30, 2026
18°C or below
$926 KL.
<1%
19°C
$3,249 KL.
1%
20°C
$2,307 KL.
1%
21°C
$1,362 KL.
18%
22°C
$2,845 KL.
33%
23°C
$1,820 KL.
35%
24°C
$1,105 KL.
15%
25°C
$638 KL.
4%
26°C
$1,126 KL.
1%
27°C
$528 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5,107 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 22–24°C for São Paulo’s July 30 high reflects ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing modest daytime warming under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing some solar heating during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office currently indicate a peak near 20–21°C, consistent with July climatology of 22–24°C averages at the Guarulhos reference station, though urban heat-island effects and exact timing of maximum temperature introduce 1–2°C run-to-run variability. The tight spread across outcomes stems from these small differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for brief cloud increases, with new model updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,013Ngày kết thúc
Jul 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 22–24°C for São Paulo’s July 30 high reflects ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing modest daytime warming under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing some solar heating during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office currently indicate a peak near 20–21°C, consistent with July climatology of 22–24°C averages at the Guarulhos reference station, though urban heat-island effects and exact timing of maximum temperature introduce 1–2°C run-to-run variability. The tight spread across outcomes stems from these small differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for brief cloud increases, with new model updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$21,013Ngày kết thúc
Jul 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 22–24°C for São Paulo’s July 30 high reflects ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF showing modest daytime warming under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing some solar heating during the Southern Hemisphere winter. Official forecasts from sources such as the Met Office currently indicate a peak near 20–21°C, consistent with July climatology of 22–24°C averages at the Guarulhos reference station, though urban heat-island effects and exact timing of maximum temperature introduce 1–2°C run-to-run variability. The tight spread across outcomes stems from these small differences in insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for brief cloud increases, with new model updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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