**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 30?
27°C 38%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
37%
27°C
38%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
24°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
$340 KL.
1%
21°C
$132 KL.
1%
22°C
$210 KL.
1%
23°C
$64 KL.
1%
24°C
$79 KL.
5%
25°C
$519 KL.
15%
26°C
$116 KL.
37%
27°C
$271 KL.
38%
28°C
$56 KL.
5%
29°C
$59 KL.
2%
30°C or higher
$187 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,033Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,033Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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