Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$12 KL.
<1%
30°C
$104 KL.
2%
31°C
$61 KL.
2%
32°C
$197 KL.
4%
33°C
$204 KL.
18%
34°C
$113 KL.
38%
35°C
$391 KL.
33%
36°C
$33 KL.
10%
37°C
$35 KL.
3%
38°C
$125 KL.
5%
39°C or higher
$15 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,291Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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