Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 7?
19°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 7, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
17%
19°C
29%
20°C
29%
21°C
18%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 29%
20°C 29%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 7, 2026
12°C or below
$151 KL.
<1%
13°C
$157 KL.
<1%
14°C
$153 KL.
<1%
15°C
$164 KL.
<1%
16°C
$645 KL.
1%
17°C
$860 KL.
2%
18°C
$931 KL.
17%
19°C
$1,379 KL.
29%
20°C
$389 KL.
29%
21°C
$753 KL.
18%
22°C or higher
$1,723 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,252Ngày kết thúc
Jul 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,252Ngày kết thúc
Jul 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show notable spread for Warsaw's July 7 maximum, with consensus clustering near 18–20°C amid an approaching Atlantic front. This drives the tight market distribution around 18–20°C outcomes. Cloud cover and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of roughly 24°C, while variable westerly flow modulates advection of cooler maritime air. Model differences center on exact frontal timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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