Recent high turnout data, including over 270,000 early and absentee ballots before Election Day and preliminary statewide counts exceeding 644,000 by polls close, have positioned the 680K-720K range as the clear market leader. Idaho’s full ballot of legislative seats, constitutional officers, and multiple statewide questions combined with independent challengers in the Senate race lifted participation well above 2022’s 599,000 total votes. Traders have aligned with these verified developments rather than pre-election baselines, as final certified figures continue to settle within the leading bracket.