Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVermont Governor Election: Turnout
Vermont Governor Election: Turnout
<225K 44%
275K-300K 44%
300K-325K 44%
225K-250K 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<225K
44%
225K-250K
44%
250K-275K
43%
275K-300K
44%
300K-325K
44%
325K-350K
43%
350K+
43%
<225K 44%
275K-300K 44%
300K-325K 44%
225K-250K 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<225K
$0 KL.
44%
225K-250K
$0 KL.
44%
250K-275K
$0 KL.
43%
275K-300K
$0 KL.
44%
300K-325K
$0 KL.
44%
325K-350K
$0 KL.
43%
350K+
$0 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary results and low early voting participation ahead of the August 11 contest underscore subdued engagement heading into the November 3 general election between incumbent Republican Phil Scott and Democrat Amanda Janoo. Vermont’s off-year gubernatorial cycle typically draws lower turnout than presidential years, with historical general election totals ranging from roughly 290,000 to 370,000 votes amid same-day registration, no-excuse absentee, and early voting options. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered across turnout bins because campaign mobilization intensity, independent and suburban voter participation, and weather on Election Day remain uncertain variables that could shift final participation levels without a clear frontrunner in any single range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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