The near-certain trader consensus that Jimmy Kimmel will neither be fired nor resign by May 31 rests on the absence of any reported contract disputes, performance shortfalls, or public statements signaling an imminent exit from his long-running ABC late-night role. His established tenure continues without disruption, and no network restructuring announcements or personal developments have emerged in recent weeks to suggest otherwise. This market positioning aligns with historical patterns where prominent hosts maintain positions absent clear triggers. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an abrupt health issue, a major unforeseen corporate decision at Disney, or an unexpected personal announcement, though none appear probable within the narrow remaining window.