Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 28?
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 22%
28°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 28, 2026
21°C or below
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 22%
28°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 28, 2026
21°C or below
$37 KL.
9%
22°C
$37 KL.
1%
23°C
$7 KL.
8%
24°C
$0 KL.
12%
25°C
$0 KL.
22%
26°C
$0 KL.
36%
27°C
$0 KL.
27%
28°C
$0 KL.
15%
29°C
$37 KL.
14%
30°C
$37 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$37 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$191Ngày kết thúc
Jul 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$191Ngày kết thúc
Jul 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong’s seasonal outlook from the Hong Kong Observatory calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through July-September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends. Short-term model guidance for July 28 points to overnight lows near 26–27 °C under typical summer humidity and light winds, with the narrow spread among 25–27 °C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and any residual moisture or wind shifts from the recent tropical low-pressure system that tracked near the Guangdong coast. Greater rainfall or persistent cloud would favor the lower end of that range by limiting radiational cooling, while clearer skies could push minima slightly higher; official station data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours will determine which threshold resolves the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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