Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 16?
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
21°C 18%
18°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 16, 2026
17°C or below
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
26%
20°C
33%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 33%
19°C 26%
21°C 18%
18°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 16, 2026
17°C or below
$71 KL.
4%
18°C
$59 KL.
11%
19°C
$1,820 KL.
26%
20°C
$257 KL.
33%
21°C
$360 KL.
18%
22°C
$49 KL.
6%
23°C
$365 KL.
<1%
24°C
$99 KL.
<1%
25°C
$183 KL.
<1%
26°C
$455 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$333 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,050Ngày kết thúc
Jul 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,050Ngày kết thúc
Jul 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum near 20–21°C in Paris on July 16 amid lingering warm advection and elevated dew points from the July heatwave, keeping overnight lows well above the historical early-July average of 15–16°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on expected cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim or sustain the urban heat island effect by 1–2°C. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends in 2-meter temperatures, producing closely bunched implied probabilities that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a single dominant scenario.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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