Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 KL.
$24,513 KL.
May 14, 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 KL.
$24,513 KL.
May 14, 2026
1°C or below
$723 KL.
No
2°C
$1,173 KL.
No
3°C
$593 KL.
No
4°C
$1,214 KL.
No
5°C
$3,506 KL.
No
6°C
$4,134 KL.
No
7°C
$2,251 KL.
Yes
8°C
$4,590 KL.
No
9°C
$919 KL.
No
10°C
$685 KL.
No
11°C or higher
$4,725 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,513Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$24,513Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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