Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for a 7°C lowest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 14, driven by Météo-France's latest guidance forecasting morning lows of 7–8°C amid overcast skies, widespread showers (5–6 mm expected), and westerly winds of 15–48 km/h during this unusually cool May week. An upper-level trough has advected colder air over Île-de-France in the past 48 hours, suppressing temperatures below the mid-May climatological minimum of ~9.5°C, while cloudy conditions limit radiative cooling that could push toward 6°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 6–11°C spread due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation timing; monitor hourly Météo-France updates and new model runs through evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
8°C 37%
7°C 29%
6°C 14%
5°C 3.6%
MỚI
MỚI
May 14, 2026
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
4%
6°C
21%
7°C
54%
8°C
27%
8°C 37%
7°C 29%
6°C 14%
5°C 3.6%
MỚI
MỚI
May 14, 2026
1°C or below
$464 KL.
<1%
2°C
$733 KL.
<1%
3°C
$206 KL.
<1%
4°C
$376 KL.
1%
5°C
$534 KL.
4%
6°C
$228 KL.
21%
7°C
$156 KL.
54%
8°C
$220 KL.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for a 7°C lowest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 14, driven by Météo-France's latest guidance forecasting morning lows of 7–8°C amid overcast skies, widespread showers (5–6 mm expected), and westerly winds of 15–48 km/h during this unusually cool May week. An upper-level trough has advected colder air over Île-de-France in the past 48 hours, suppressing temperatures below the mid-May climatological minimum of ~9.5°C, while cloudy conditions limit radiative cooling that could push toward 6°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 6–11°C spread due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation timing; monitor hourly Météo-France updates and new model runs through evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,246Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for a 7°C lowest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 14, driven by Météo-France's latest guidance forecasting morning lows of 7–8°C amid overcast skies, widespread showers (5–6 mm expected), and westerly winds of 15–48 km/h during this unusually cool May week. An upper-level trough has advected colder air over Île-de-France in the past 48 hours, suppressing temperatures below the mid-May climatological minimum of ~9.5°C, while cloudy conditions limit radiative cooling that could push toward 6°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 6–11°C spread due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation timing; monitor hourly Météo-France updates and new model runs through evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$9,246Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for a 7°C lowest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 14, driven by Météo-France's latest guidance forecasting morning lows of 7–8°C amid overcast skies, widespread showers (5–6 mm expected), and westerly winds of 15–48 km/h during this unusually cool May week. An upper-level trough has advected colder air over Île-de-France in the past 48 hours, suppressing temperatures below the mid-May climatological minimum of ~9.5°C, while cloudy conditions limit radiative cooling that could push toward 6°C. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a 6–11°C spread due to uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and precipitation timing; monitor hourly Météo-France updates and new model runs through evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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