Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, point to an overnight low of 5–7°C in Paris on May 16 amid a persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppresses both daytime heating and nocturnal radiational cooling. These conditions have produced a cool spell atypical for mid-May, when climatological averages near 9–10°C, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 5°C, 6°C, and 7°C outcomes. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates the narrow differentiation among these leading bins, with updated hourly observations and afternoon model runs expected to refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 16?
5°C 37%
6°C 37%
7°C 36%
8°C 3.7%
MỚI
MỚI
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
3%
5°C
25%
6°C
29%
7°C
29%
8°C
4%
9°C
<1%
10°C or higher
<1%
5°C 37%
6°C 37%
7°C 36%
8°C 3.7%
MỚI
MỚI
May 16, 2026
0°C or below
$28 KL.
<1%
1°C
$160 KL.
1%
2°C
$124 KL.
1%
3°C
$264 KL.
1%
4°C
$241 KL.
3%
5°C
$159 KL.
25%
6°C
$121 KL.
29%
7°C
$249 KL.
29%
8°C
$360 KL.
4%
9°C
$921 KL.
<1%
10°C or higher
$2,730 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, point to an overnight low of 5–7°C in Paris on May 16 amid a persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppresses both daytime heating and nocturnal radiational cooling. These conditions have produced a cool spell atypical for mid-May, when climatological averages near 9–10°C, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 5°C, 6°C, and 7°C outcomes. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates the narrow differentiation among these leading bins, with updated hourly observations and afternoon model runs expected to refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,356Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, point to an overnight low of 5–7°C in Paris on May 16 amid a persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppresses both daytime heating and nocturnal radiational cooling. These conditions have produced a cool spell atypical for mid-May, when climatological averages near 9–10°C, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 5°C, 6°C, and 7°C outcomes. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates the narrow differentiation among these leading bins, with updated hourly observations and afternoon model runs expected to refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$5,356Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, aligned with Météo-France guidance, point to an overnight low of 5–7°C in Paris on May 16 amid a persistent northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover that suppresses both daytime heating and nocturnal radiational cooling. These conditions have produced a cool spell atypical for mid-May, when climatological averages near 9–10°C, tightening market-implied probabilities around the 5°C, 6°C, and 7°C outcomes. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds creates the narrow differentiation among these leading bins, with updated hourly observations and afternoon model runs expected to refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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