Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ARPA Lombardia's latest forecasts showing persistent atmospheric instability over northern Italy, with a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms on May 15, capping Milan’s highest temperature around 14–16°C. This marks a cool departure from May climatological averages of 22–25°C, stemming from recent cold air advection following an intense maltempo wave starting May 11 that brought heavy rain and grandine across the region. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering but diverge slightly on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, fueling the close odds between 15°C (30%), 14°C (25%), and 16°C (21.5%) amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. Watch ARPA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
16°C 22%
17°C 12%
MỚI
$18,970 KL.
MỚI
$18,970 KL.
May 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
22%
17°C
12%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
16°C 22%
17°C 12%
MỚI
$18,970 KL.
MỚI
$18,970 KL.
May 15, 2026
9°C or below
$780 KL.
<1%
10°C
$2,551 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,688 KL.
<1%
12°C
$1,294 KL.
1%
13°C
$1,338 KL.
10%
14°C
$1,817 KL.
27%
15°C
$1,324 KL.
31%
16°C
$1,020 KL.
22%
17°C
$1,388 KL.
12%
18°C
$2,721 KL.
3%
19°C or higher
$3,050 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ARPA Lombardia's latest forecasts showing persistent atmospheric instability over northern Italy, with a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms on May 15, capping Milan’s highest temperature around 14–16°C. This marks a cool departure from May climatological averages of 22–25°C, stemming from recent cold air advection following an intense maltempo wave starting May 11 that brought heavy rain and grandine across the region. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering but diverge slightly on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, fueling the close odds between 15°C (30%), 14°C (25%), and 16°C (21.5%) amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. Watch ARPA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,970Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ARPA Lombardia's latest forecasts showing persistent atmospheric instability over northern Italy, with a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms on May 15, capping Milan’s highest temperature around 14–16°C. This marks a cool departure from May climatological averages of 22–25°C, stemming from recent cold air advection following an intense maltempo wave starting May 11 that brought heavy rain and grandine across the region. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering but diverge slightly on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, fueling the close odds between 15°C (30%), 14°C (25%), and 16°C (21.5%) amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. Watch ARPA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$18,970Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects ARPA Lombardia's latest forecasts showing persistent atmospheric instability over northern Italy, with a low-pressure system driving cloudy skies, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms on May 15, capping Milan’s highest temperature around 14–16°C. This marks a cool departure from May climatological averages of 22–25°C, stemming from recent cold air advection following an intense maltempo wave starting May 11 that brought heavy rain and grandine across the region. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering but diverge slightly on exact cloud cover and precipitation timing, fueling the close odds between 15°C (30%), 14°C (25%), and 16°C (21.5%) amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. Watch ARPA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp