Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 28°C (30.5%), 29°C (25.5%), and 27°C (23.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the convergence of forecast models from AccuWeather (30°C high) and World Weather Information Service (28°C amid light rain). Recent observations show May 15 highs near 24-25°C under persistent cloudy, rainy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, but upper-level ridging and warmer air advection are expected to boost diurnal heating tomorrow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent—overcast skies favoring 27°C via reduced insolation, versus partial clearing enabling 29-30°C peaks—and minor model spreads in boundary layer moisture. China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
28°C 31%
29°C 27%
27°C 21%
30°C 16%
MỚI
$16,877 KL.
MỚI
$16,877 KL.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
21%
28°C
31%
29°C
27%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 31%
29°C 27%
27°C 21%
30°C 16%
MỚI
$16,877 KL.
MỚI
$16,877 KL.
May 16, 2026
21°C or below
$1,481 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,395 KL.
<1%
23°C
$867 KL.
<1%
24°C
$2,389 KL.
1%
25°C
$1,947 KL.
1%
26°C
$1,587 KL.
5%
27°C
$1,881 KL.
21%
28°C
$1,370 KL.
31%
29°C
$844 KL.
27%
30°C
$1,434 KL.
16%
31°C or higher
$1,730 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 28°C (30.5%), 29°C (25.5%), and 27°C (23.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the convergence of forecast models from AccuWeather (30°C high) and World Weather Information Service (28°C amid light rain). Recent observations show May 15 highs near 24-25°C under persistent cloudy, rainy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, but upper-level ridging and warmer air advection are expected to boost diurnal heating tomorrow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent—overcast skies favoring 27°C via reduced insolation, versus partial clearing enabling 29-30°C peaks—and minor model spreads in boundary layer moisture. China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,877Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 28°C (30.5%), 29°C (25.5%), and 27°C (23.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the convergence of forecast models from AccuWeather (30°C high) and World Weather Information Service (28°C amid light rain). Recent observations show May 15 highs near 24-25°C under persistent cloudy, rainy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, but upper-level ridging and warmer air advection are expected to boost diurnal heating tomorrow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent—overcast skies favoring 27°C via reduced insolation, versus partial clearing enabling 29-30°C peaks—and minor model spreads in boundary layer moisture. China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$16,877Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 28°C (30.5%), 29°C (25.5%), and 27°C (23.5%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on May 16, mirroring the convergence of forecast models from AccuWeather (30°C high) and World Weather Information Service (28°C amid light rain). Recent observations show May 15 highs near 24-25°C under persistent cloudy, rainy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, but upper-level ridging and warmer air advection are expected to boost diurnal heating tomorrow. Differentiating factors include cloud cover extent—overcast skies favoring 27°C via reduced insolation, versus partial clearing enabling 29-30°C peaks—and minor model spreads in boundary layer moisture. China Meteorological Administration updates and airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport will sharpen resolution as the event unfolds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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