Latest China Meteorological Administration and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Shanghai high of around 25°C on May 15 at Pudong International Airport, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 34% implied probability amid tight competition from 24°C and 26°C. Recent developments include a shift from recent highs near 28°C on May 12—above mid-May climatological averages of 24-26°C—toward cooler conditions due to south-easterly winds ushering in cloud cover and possible light showers, potentially capping solar insolation. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud breaks: persistent overcast favors 24°C, while sunny intervals could yield 26°C. New 12z model runs and real-time observations today may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
25°C 34%
26°C 25%
24°C 24%
23°C 11%
MỚI
$17,445 KL.
MỚI
$17,445 KL.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
24%
25°C
34%
26°C
25%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 25%
24°C 24%
23°C 11%
MỚI
$17,445 KL.
MỚI
$17,445 KL.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$3,177 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,264 KL.
<1%
22°C
$2,199 KL.
1%
23°C
$1,324 KL.
11%
24°C
$1,115 KL.
24%
25°C
$1,247 KL.
34%
26°C
$1,108 KL.
25%
27°C
$1,469 KL.
7%
28°C
$2,295 KL.
1%
29°C
$1,264 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$985 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Shanghai high of around 25°C on May 15 at Pudong International Airport, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 34% implied probability amid tight competition from 24°C and 26°C. Recent developments include a shift from recent highs near 28°C on May 12—above mid-May climatological averages of 24-26°C—toward cooler conditions due to south-easterly winds ushering in cloud cover and possible light showers, potentially capping solar insolation. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud breaks: persistent overcast favors 24°C, while sunny intervals could yield 26°C. New 12z model runs and real-time observations today may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,445Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Shanghai high of around 25°C on May 15 at Pudong International Airport, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 34% implied probability amid tight competition from 24°C and 26°C. Recent developments include a shift from recent highs near 28°C on May 12—above mid-May climatological averages of 24-26°C—toward cooler conditions due to south-easterly winds ushering in cloud cover and possible light showers, potentially capping solar insolation. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud breaks: persistent overcast favors 24°C, while sunny intervals could yield 26°C. New 12z model runs and real-time observations today may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$17,445Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration and global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a Shanghai high of around 25°C on May 15 at Pudong International Airport, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 34% implied probability amid tight competition from 24°C and 26°C. Recent developments include a shift from recent highs near 28°C on May 12—above mid-May climatological averages of 24-26°C—toward cooler conditions due to south-easterly winds ushering in cloud cover and possible light showers, potentially capping solar insolation. Differentiation stems from model spread on afternoon cloud breaks: persistent overcast favors 24°C, while sunny intervals could yield 26°C. New 12z model runs and real-time observations today may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp