Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
18°C 36%
17°C 28%
19°C 22%
16°C 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
6%
17°C
28%
18°C
36%
19°C
22%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 36%
17°C 28%
19°C 22%
16°C 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
May 16, 2026
14°C or below
$1,060 KL.
1%
15°C
$773 KL.
1%
16°C
$578 KL.
6%
17°C
$1,127 KL.
28%
18°C
$998 KL.
36%
19°C
$628 KL.
22%
20°C
$977 KL.
5%
21°C
$1,110 KL.
3%
22°C
$202 KL.
1%
23°C
$458 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$573 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,484Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$8,484Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 38% implied probability for an 18°C high in Helsinki on May 16, with 17°C (27.5%) and 19°C (21.5%) close behind, reflecting the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts centering on 17–19°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. This setup advects mild continental air from the south, with light winds (5–10 m/s) and partly cloudy skies limiting cooling, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures around 8–10°C provide modest moderation. Recent observational data from May 14–15 shows daytime highs of 12–14°C under similar ridging, with model runs yesterday converging on slight warming due to increased solar insolation and minimal cloud interference. Uncertainty persists in the ±2°C ensemble spread from potential afternoon showers or sea breeze effects; FMI updates expected later today could refine odds further. Historical mid-May averages hover near 15–16°C, making this a warmer-than-normal outlook consistent with ongoing spring warming trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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