Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations drive the 100% market-implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on May 15, with hourly projections peaking at 27-29°C around 3 PM KST under clear skies, light winds, and subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Current station data already shows temperatures climbing past 25°C mid-afternoon, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus for above-normal heat—following yesterday's confirmed 26.3°C high—against mid-May climatological averages near 23°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud development or a northerly surge disrupting the ridge, though 0-10% precipitation odds and stable steering patterns minimize such risks; traders await KMA's end-of-day official maximum for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$185,638 KL.
$185,638 KL.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$185,638 KL.
$185,638 KL.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
$5,450 KL.
No
17°C
$5,668 KL.
No
18°C
$23,094 KL.
No
19°C
$8,933 KL.
No
20°C
$9,330 KL.
No
21°C
$20,543 KL.
No
22°C
$21,430 KL.
No
23°C
$31,824 KL.
No
24°C
$19,473 KL.
No
25°C
$16,913 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$22,978 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations drive the 100% market-implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on May 15, with hourly projections peaking at 27-29°C around 3 PM KST under clear skies, light winds, and subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Current station data already shows temperatures climbing past 25°C mid-afternoon, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus for above-normal heat—following yesterday's confirmed 26.3°C high—against mid-May climatological averages near 23°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud development or a northerly surge disrupting the ridge, though 0-10% precipitation odds and stable steering patterns minimize such risks; traders await KMA's end-of-day official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$185,638Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations drive the 100% market-implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on May 15, with hourly projections peaking at 27-29°C around 3 PM KST under clear skies, light winds, and subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Current station data already shows temperatures climbing past 25°C mid-afternoon, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus for above-normal heat—following yesterday's confirmed 26.3°C high—against mid-May climatological averages near 23°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud development or a northerly surge disrupting the ridge, though 0-10% precipitation odds and stable steering patterns minimize such risks; traders await KMA's end-of-day official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$185,638Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations drive the 100% market-implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on May 15, with hourly projections peaking at 27-29°C around 3 PM KST under clear skies, light winds, and subsidence from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm advection. Current station data already shows temperatures climbing past 25°C mid-afternoon, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model consensus for above-normal heat—following yesterday's confirmed 26.3°C high—against mid-May climatological averages near 23°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud development or a northerly surge disrupting the ridge, though 0-10% precipitation odds and stable steering patterns minimize such risks; traders await KMA's end-of-day official maximum for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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