Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s overnight low for May 16 at 17°C, matching the mid-May climatological normal and underpinning the market’s 98.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high pressure supports mostly clear skies, promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds and minimal moisture, with ensemble model runs converging tightly around this value. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without strong cold-air advection. A thicker cloud deck overnight could trap heat and push the minimum to 18°C, while fuller clearing or a brief northerly breeze might allow a 16°C reading—both modest deviations within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range. The next JMA update this afternoon will provide final guidance before official resolution at the Tokyo station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
17°C 98.2%
16°C 1.1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$64,877 KL.
$64,877 KL.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
98%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 98.2%
16°C 1.1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$64,877 KL.
$64,877 KL.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$5,158 KL.
<1%
14°C
$9,285 KL.
<1%
15°C
$8,019 KL.
<1%
16°C
$2,570 KL.
1%
17°C
$2,887 KL.
98%
18°C
$2,787 KL.
<1%
19°C
$12,509 KL.
<1%
20°C
$13,438 KL.
<1%
21°C
$523 KL.
<1%
22°C
$779 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,921 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s overnight low for May 16 at 17°C, matching the mid-May climatological normal and underpinning the market’s 98.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high pressure supports mostly clear skies, promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds and minimal moisture, with ensemble model runs converging tightly around this value. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without strong cold-air advection. A thicker cloud deck overnight could trap heat and push the minimum to 18°C, while fuller clearing or a brief northerly breeze might allow a 16°C reading—both modest deviations within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range. The next JMA update this afternoon will provide final guidance before official resolution at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$64,877Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s overnight low for May 16 at 17°C, matching the mid-May climatological normal and underpinning the market’s 98.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high pressure supports mostly clear skies, promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds and minimal moisture, with ensemble model runs converging tightly around this value. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without strong cold-air advection. A thicker cloud deck overnight could trap heat and push the minimum to 18°C, while fuller clearing or a brief northerly breeze might allow a 16°C reading—both modest deviations within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range. The next JMA update this afternoon will provide final guidance before official resolution at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$64,877Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts project Tokyo’s overnight low for May 16 at 17°C, matching the mid-May climatological normal and underpinning the market’s 98.7% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent high pressure supports mostly clear skies, promoting efficient radiative cooling under light winds and minimal moisture, with ensemble model runs converging tightly around this value. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without strong cold-air advection. A thicker cloud deck overnight could trap heat and push the minimum to 18°C, while fuller clearing or a brief northerly breeze might allow a 16°C reading—both modest deviations within the typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty range. The next JMA update this afternoon will provide final guidance before official resolution at the Tokyo station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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