Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to a moderate daily high in Los Angeles driven by a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. This setup keeps coastal and downtown stations in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 68–71 °F. Subtle differences among those bins hinge on how much boundary-layer mixing occurs by peak heating and whether any weak offshore wind component develops overnight. May climatology shows an average high near 74 °F, but the current pattern favors cooler readings typical of late-spring marine influence. Final readings from official stations will resolve the market after sunset on May 18.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 18?
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 27%
74°F or higher 26%
72-73°F 22%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
15%
70-71°F 29%
68-69°F 27%
74°F or higher 26%
72-73°F 22%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs point to a moderate daily high in Los Angeles driven by a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. This setup keeps coastal and downtown stations in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 68–71 °F. Subtle differences among those bins hinge on how much boundary-layer mixing occurs by peak heating and whether any weak offshore wind component develops overnight. May climatology shows an average high near 74 °F, but the current pattern favors cooler readings typical of late-spring marine influence. Final readings from official stations will resolve the market after sunset on May 18.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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