Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, supported by stable high-pressure systems, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble models show strong consensus on this threshold, aligning with typical mid-May climatology where average highs range 22–25°C. Official station data and real-time observations reinforce the outlook, with no significant warm-air advection expected. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based stability, though a sudden clearing trend or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 26°C if models underperform on boundary-layer mixing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 16?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$114,063 KL.
$114,063 KL.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$114,063 KL.
$114,063 KL.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 25°C for Tokyo on May 16, supported by stable high-pressure systems, moderate southerly flow, and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble models show strong consensus on this threshold, aligning with typical mid-May climatology where average highs range 22–25°C. Official station data and real-time observations reinforce the outlook, with no significant warm-air advection expected. Trader positioning reflects this evidence-based stability, though a sudden clearing trend or localized urban heat effects could push readings to 26°C if models underperform on boundary-layer mixing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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