National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco project sunny skies and a daytime high near 73–75°F on May 18, driven by a weakening marine layer and offshore flow that should allow strong solar heating. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and private guidance shows minimal cloud cover persisting through midday, consistent with recent trends of above-normal May temperatures in the region. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 95% implied probability, aligning with historical analogs where similar clear-air patterns yield peaks in the low to mid-70s. The primary risk to this outcome would be an unexpected strengthening of the onshore flow or delayed stratus burn-off, though current guidance indicates low likelihood through the weekend.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 18?
68°F or higher 96.1%
66-67°F 1.8%
62-63°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68°F or higher
96%
68°F or higher 96.1%
66-67°F 1.8%
62-63°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
49°F or below
$368 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$165 KL.
<1%
52-53°F
$206 KL.
<1%
54-55°F
$202 KL.
<1%
56-57°F
$305 KL.
<1%
58-59°F
$700 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,132 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,584 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$330 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$131 KL.
2%
68°F or higher
$172 KL.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco project sunny skies and a daytime high near 73–75°F on May 18, driven by a weakening marine layer and offshore flow that should allow strong solar heating. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and private guidance shows minimal cloud cover persisting through midday, consistent with recent trends of above-normal May temperatures in the region. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 95% implied probability, aligning with historical analogs where similar clear-air patterns yield peaks in the low to mid-70s. The primary risk to this outcome would be an unexpected strengthening of the onshore flow or delayed stratus burn-off, though current guidance indicates low likelihood through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,294Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco project sunny skies and a daytime high near 73–75°F on May 18, driven by a weakening marine layer and offshore flow that should allow strong solar heating. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and private guidance shows minimal cloud cover persisting through midday, consistent with recent trends of above-normal May temperatures in the region. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 95% implied probability, aligning with historical analogs where similar clear-air patterns yield peaks in the low to mid-70s. The primary risk to this outcome would be an unexpected strengthening of the onshore flow or delayed stratus burn-off, though current guidance indicates low likelihood through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$5,294Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco project sunny skies and a daytime high near 73–75°F on May 18, driven by a weakening marine layer and offshore flow that should allow strong solar heating. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and private guidance shows minimal cloud cover persisting through midday, consistent with recent trends of above-normal May temperatures in the region. This positions the 68°F-or-higher outcome at 95% implied probability, aligning with historical analogs where similar clear-air patterns yield peaks in the low to mid-70s. The primary risk to this outcome would be an unexpected strengthening of the onshore flow or delayed stratus burn-off, though current guidance indicates low likelihood through the weekend.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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