Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
36°C or higher 33%
34°C 30%
35°C 29%
33°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
22%
36°C or higher
33%
36°C or higher 33%
34°C 30%
35°C 29%
33°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
22%
36°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCRecent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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