Recent forecast consensus from Meteo-France and ECMWF models points to a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies that limit solar insolation and a moderate northwesterly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air. These conditions suppress the typical mid-May diurnal rise, keeping surface temperatures 1–2°C below the 18°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only minor boundary-layer variations that could allow brief afternoon clearing to reach 17°C in isolated scenarios. Official resolution relies on Meteo-France station observations at 18:00 local time, and traders are watching the final model runs for any last adjustments before settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
16°C 98.6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$136,758 KL.
$136,758 KL.
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98.6%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$136,758 KL.
$136,758 KL.
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Meteo-France and ECMWF models points to a daytime maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 16, driven by persistent overcast skies that limit solar insolation and a moderate northwesterly flow advecting cooler Atlantic air. These conditions suppress the typical mid-May diurnal rise, keeping surface temperatures 1–2°C below the 18°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only minor boundary-layer variations that could allow brief afternoon clearing to reach 17°C in isolated scenarios. Official resolution relies on Meteo-France station observations at 18:00 local time, and traders are watching the final model runs for any last adjustments before settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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