National Weather Service ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high near 77°F in New York City on May 16, supported by a building high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies and light southerly flow across the mid-Atlantic region. This meteorological setup has anchored the strongest trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 46 percent implied probability, followed closely by 78-79°F at 31.5 percent, as recent model runs show limited potential for significant warming or cooling today. LaGuardia Airport observations, which resolve the market, typically track these guidance values closely during spring high-pressure regimes, though minor deviations from boundary-layer mixing could still shift the final maximum into adjacent ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 44%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 9.3%
$69,841 KL.
$69,841 KL.
May 16, 2026
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 44%
78-79°F 34%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 9.3%
$69,841 KL.
$69,841 KL.
May 16, 2026
68-69°F
$3,773 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,595 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$9,955 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$8,537 KL.
10%
76-77°F
$5,728 KL.
44%
78-79°F
$5,068 KL.
34%
80-81°F
$6,444 KL.
9%
82-83°F
$13,621 KL.
1%
84°F or higher
$6,365 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high near 77°F in New York City on May 16, supported by a building high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies and light southerly flow across the mid-Atlantic region. This meteorological setup has anchored the strongest trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 46 percent implied probability, followed closely by 78-79°F at 31.5 percent, as recent model runs show limited potential for significant warming or cooling today. LaGuardia Airport observations, which resolve the market, typically track these guidance values closely during spring high-pressure regimes, though minor deviations from boundary-layer mixing could still shift the final maximum into adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$69,841Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high near 77°F in New York City on May 16, supported by a building high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies and light southerly flow across the mid-Atlantic region. This meteorological setup has anchored the strongest trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 46 percent implied probability, followed closely by 78-79°F at 31.5 percent, as recent model runs show limited potential for significant warming or cooling today. LaGuardia Airport observations, which resolve the market, typically track these guidance values closely during spring high-pressure regimes, though minor deviations from boundary-layer mixing could still shift the final maximum into adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$69,841Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF currently project a daytime high near 77°F in New York City on May 16, supported by a building high-pressure ridge that promotes clear skies and light southerly flow across the mid-Atlantic region. This meteorological setup has anchored the strongest trader consensus on the 76-77°F bin at 46 percent implied probability, followed closely by 78-79°F at 31.5 percent, as recent model runs show limited potential for significant warming or cooling today. LaGuardia Airport observations, which resolve the market, typically track these guidance values closely during spring high-pressure regimes, though minor deviations from boundary-layer mixing could still shift the final maximum into adjacent ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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