The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast, updated as of May 15 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 24–27°C on May 16 amid cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and thunderstorms, driven by a trough of low pressure bringing moist easterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity. This setup suppresses daytime heating below May's climatological average high of around 29°C, with trader consensus closely split at 43% for 27°C and 35% for 26°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon cloud breaks versus persistent rain—partial clearing could edge highs toward 27°C, while widespread showers cap them at 26°C. Watch for HKO's twice-daily 9-day forecast updates and real-time observations starting early May 16, as model ensembles show minor divergence on shower coverage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
27°C 42%
26°C 36%
28°C 11%
25°C 7.3%
$63,615 KL.
$63,615 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
36%
27°C
42%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
3%
27°C 42%
26°C 36%
28°C 11%
25°C 7.3%
$63,615 KL.
$63,615 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
36%
27°C
42%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest local forecast, updated as of May 15 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 24–27°C on May 16 amid cloudy skies, occasional heavy showers, and thunderstorms, driven by a trough of low pressure bringing moist easterly winds and 80–95% relative humidity. This setup suppresses daytime heating below May's climatological average high of around 29°C, with trader consensus closely split at 43% for 27°C and 35% for 26°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon cloud breaks versus persistent rain—partial clearing could edge highs toward 27°C, while widespread showers cap them at 26°C. Watch for HKO's twice-daily 9-day forecast updates and real-time observations starting early May 16, as model ensembles show minor divergence on shower coverage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp