Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest daily maximum near 14°C at Amsterdam Schiphol on May 17, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cool North Sea air and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup keeps readings well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, producing the tight market clustering around 13°C and 14°C at roughly equal implied probabilities. Brief afternoon breaks in the overcast could allow slight warming toward 15°C, while prolonged precipitation would likely cap the peak at 13°C; traders are monitoring the latest KNMI guidance and hourly observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
14°C 34%
13°C 31%
15°C 21%
16°C 5.9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
31%
14°C
34%
15°C
21%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 34%
13°C 31%
15°C 21%
16°C 5.9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
31%
14°C
34%
15°C
21%
16°C
6%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest daily maximum near 14°C at Amsterdam Schiphol on May 17, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting cool North Sea air and widespread cloud cover with scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup keeps readings well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–18°C, producing the tight market clustering around 13°C and 14°C at roughly equal implied probabilities. Brief afternoon breaks in the overcast could allow slight warming toward 15°C, while prolonged precipitation would likely cap the peak at 13°C; traders are monitoring the latest KNMI guidance and hourly observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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