Trader consensus favors 86°F or higher at 57% for Houston's May 17 high temperature, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 88-90°F under building high-pressure ridging. After early May heavy rains totaling over 17 inches—well above normal—drier conditions have prevailed, with recent highs reaching 90°F amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. Climatological normals for May 17 at Houston's IAH airport hover around 88°F, aligning with current upper-air patterns favoring heat. However, inherent forecast uncertainty persists, including potential sea-breeze influences or isolated thunderstorms that could cap temperatures at 84-85°F (19%). Watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 88.0%
84-85°F 7%
82-83°F 4.0%
80-81°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
88%
86°F or higher 88.0%
84-85°F 7%
82-83°F 4.0%
80-81°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
7%
86°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUTrader consensus favors 86°F or higher at 57% for Houston's May 17 high temperature, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks near 88-90°F under building high-pressure ridging. After early May heavy rains totaling over 17 inches—well above normal—drier conditions have prevailed, with recent highs reaching 90°F amid light winds and minimal cloud cover. Climatological normals for May 17 at Houston's IAH airport hover around 88°F, aligning with current upper-air patterns favoring heat. However, inherent forecast uncertainty persists, including potential sea-breeze influences or isolated thunderstorms that could cap temperatures at 84-85°F (19%). Watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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