National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently project a high temperature in Denver on May 17 peaking in the upper 60s to low 70s under a stable high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow, producing the market’s overwhelming 91.5 percent implied probability for 71°F or below. This setup limits daytime heating below the mid-May climatological normal near 73°F, with dry soils and limited moisture advection further suppressing warmth. Traders view the outcome as highly probable given consistent ensemble runs, though a late shift to southerly winds or reduced cloud cover ahead of an approaching shortwave could allow readings to edge into the mid-70s and test the narrow probability bands above 71°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 92%
72-73°F 2.3%
74-75°F 1.4%
80-81°F <1%
$23,373 KL.
$23,373 KL.
71°F or below
92%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 92%
72-73°F 2.3%
74-75°F 1.4%
80-81°F <1%
$23,373 KL.
$23,373 KL.
71°F or below
92%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFNational Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently project a high temperature in Denver on May 17 peaking in the upper 60s to low 70s under a stable high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow, producing the market’s overwhelming 91.5 percent implied probability for 71°F or below. This setup limits daytime heating below the mid-May climatological normal near 73°F, with dry soils and limited moisture advection further suppressing warmth. Traders view the outcome as highly probable given consistent ensemble runs, though a late shift to southerly winds or reduced cloud cover ahead of an approaching shortwave could allow readings to edge into the mid-70s and test the narrow probability bands above 71°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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