Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services indicate a daily maximum temperature in São Paulo on May 16 most likely between 25°C and 27°C, reflecting the city’s transition into cooler autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with reduced solar heating and occasional cloud cover. This range aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 23–25°C amid variable subtropical patterns influenced by Atlantic moisture and frontal systems. Traders assign the highest probability to 26°C because ensemble predictions show limited warming potential from transient high-pressure ridges, while cooler outcomes gain traction from incoming rain bands that could suppress daytime peaks by 1–3°C. Ongoing model updates from agencies like INMET will refine these estimates ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts during transitional seasons.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 16?
26°C 43%
25°C 28%
27°C 21.0%
24°C 11.8%
MỚI
$16,549 KL.
MỚI
$16,549 KL.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
28%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 43%
25°C 28%
27°C 21.0%
24°C 11.8%
MỚI
$16,549 KL.
MỚI
$16,549 KL.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$2,235 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,650 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,602 KL.
1%
22°C
$1,687 KL.
1%
23°C
$1,975 KL.
4%
24°C
$1,902 KL.
12%
25°C
$1,289 KL.
28%
26°C
$1,470 KL.
40%
27°C
$806 KL.
21%
28°C
$1,134 KL.
3%
29°C or higher
$1,274 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services indicate a daily maximum temperature in São Paulo on May 16 most likely between 25°C and 27°C, reflecting the city’s transition into cooler autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with reduced solar heating and occasional cloud cover. This range aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 23–25°C amid variable subtropical patterns influenced by Atlantic moisture and frontal systems. Traders assign the highest probability to 26°C because ensemble predictions show limited warming potential from transient high-pressure ridges, while cooler outcomes gain traction from incoming rain bands that could suppress daytime peaks by 1–3°C. Ongoing model updates from agencies like INMET will refine these estimates ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts during transitional seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,549Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services indicate a daily maximum temperature in São Paulo on May 16 most likely between 25°C and 27°C, reflecting the city’s transition into cooler autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with reduced solar heating and occasional cloud cover. This range aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 23–25°C amid variable subtropical patterns influenced by Atlantic moisture and frontal systems. Traders assign the highest probability to 26°C because ensemble predictions show limited warming potential from transient high-pressure ridges, while cooler outcomes gain traction from incoming rain bands that could suppress daytime peaks by 1–3°C. Ongoing model updates from agencies like INMET will refine these estimates ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts during transitional seasons.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$16,549Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Brazilian meteorological services indicate a daily maximum temperature in São Paulo on May 16 most likely between 25°C and 27°C, reflecting the city’s transition into cooler autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere with reduced solar heating and occasional cloud cover. This range aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 23–25°C amid variable subtropical patterns influenced by Atlantic moisture and frontal systems. Traders assign the highest probability to 26°C because ensemble predictions show limited warming potential from transient high-pressure ridges, while cooler outcomes gain traction from incoming rain bands that could suppress daytime peaks by 1–3°C. Ongoing model updates from agencies like INMET will refine these estimates ahead of resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts during transitional seasons.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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