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Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?

icon for Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?

Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?

May 15

May 16

May 17

May 15

May 16

May 17

88°F or higher 81%

86-87°F 17%

84-85°F 7.1%

82-83°F 4.1%

Polymarket
MỚI

88°F or higher 81%

86-87°F 17%

84-85°F 7.1%

82-83°F 4.1%

Polymarket
MỚI

69°F or below

$506 KL.

<1%

70-71°F

$3,185 KL.

<1%

72-73°F

$2,722 KL.

<1%

74-75°F

$445 KL.

<1%

76-77°F

$450 KL.

<1%

78-79°F

$385 KL.

<1%

80-81°F

$25 KL.

3%

82-83°F

$43 KL.

4%

84-85°F

$35 KL.

7%

86-87°F

$38 KL.

17%

88°F or higher

$68 KL.

75%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Austin high of 88°F or higher (75% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 91°F on May 17 amid a stubborn upper-level ridge over Texas promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions note unseasonably hot conditions persisting through the weekend, driven by southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting Gulf moisture and heat, pushing heat indices even higher while keeping thunderstorm risks low. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on upper 80s to low 90s, well above the May climatological average of 87°F near Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Overnight model updates could tweak details, but current guidance underscores minimal convective interference for peak heating.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$7,902
Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026
Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an Austin high of 88°F or higher (75% implied probability), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of near 91°F on May 17 amid a stubborn upper-level ridge over Texas promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent NWS Area Forecast Discussions note unseasonably hot conditions persisting through the weekend, driven by southwest winds of 10-20 mph advecting Gulf moisture and heat, pushing heat indices even higher while keeping thunderstorm risks low. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converge on upper 80s to low 90s, well above the May climatological average of 87°F near Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. Overnight model updates could tweak details, but current guidance underscores minimal convective interference for peak heating.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$7,902
Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026
Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 11 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "88°F or higher" ở mức 75%, tiếp theo là "86-87°F" ở mức 17%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 75¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 75% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào May 15, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?," duyệt 11 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?" là "88°F or higher" ở mức 75%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 75% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "86-87°F" ở mức 17%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.