Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
21°C 29%
20°C 22%
22°C 22%
19°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
14%
20°C
22%
21°C
29%
22°C
22%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
4%
21°C 29%
20°C 22%
22°C 22%
19°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$150 KL.
<1%
15°C
$136 KL.
<1%
16°C
$345 KL.
1%
17°C
$521 KL.
1%
18°C
$656 KL.
3%
19°C
$282 KL.
14%
20°C
$233 KL.
22%
21°C
$52 KL.
29%
22°C
$289 KL.
22%
23°C
$787 KL.
7%
24°C or higher
$537 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,990Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,990Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on an afternoon peak of 20–22 °C at Istanbul Airport under stable high-pressure ridging, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. This range aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average near 21 °C, moderated by the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea breezes. Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty around these values, as minor afternoon clearing could push readings to 22–23 °C while lingering low stratus would cap them at 19–20 °C. Hourly observations and the final model update tomorrow morning will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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