Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models converge on a Beijing maximum near 26°C for May 18, with widespread cloud cover and light showers expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Southerly flow is advecting mild, moist air from the south while an approaching trough increases atmospheric moisture, reducing the potential for clear-sky warming seen earlier in the month. These conditions align with China Meteorological Administration guidance and place the outcome close to the May climatological average, though modest shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity could nudge the high between 25°C and 27°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
26°C 28%
25°C 26%
27°C 17%
24°C 14%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
17%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 28%
25°C 26%
27°C 17%
24°C 14%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
17%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models converge on a Beijing maximum near 26°C for May 18, with widespread cloud cover and light showers expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Southerly flow is advecting mild, moist air from the south while an approaching trough increases atmospheric moisture, reducing the potential for clear-sky warming seen earlier in the month. These conditions align with China Meteorological Administration guidance and place the outcome close to the May climatological average, though modest shifts in cloud timing or precipitation intensity could nudge the high between 25°C and 27°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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