Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 37.5% implied probability for a 30°C daily maximum temperature in Singapore on May 16, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers that have capped recent highs, such as today's likely 29°C peak amid cloudy conditions and 84 mm rainfall in some areas. Official Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts a 34°C high under inter-monsoon patterns with southwest winds and recurrent convection from sea breezes, but climatological May norms of 31-33°C are often moderated by such cloud cover suppressing solar heating. The latest fortnightly outlook projects 33-34°C most days with showers on most afternoons, yet traders anticipate continuation of this cooling influence, with updates due at 6 p.m. today and tomorrow potentially refining model consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
30°C 37%
29°C 23.5%
31°C 20%
32°C or higher 19%
MỚI
$33,362 KL.
MỚI
$33,362 KL.
May 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
24%
30°C
37%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
19%
30°C 37%
29°C 23.5%
31°C 20%
32°C or higher 19%
MỚI
$33,362 KL.
MỚI
$33,362 KL.
May 16, 2026
22°C or below
$8,466 KL.
<1%
23°C
$3,375 KL.
<1%
24°C
$5,019 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,752 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,318 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,341 KL.
1%
28°C
$2,161 KL.
4%
29°C
$2,346 KL.
24%
30°C
$1,295 KL.
37%
31°C
$1,926 KL.
20%
32°C or higher
$3,363 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 37.5% implied probability for a 30°C daily maximum temperature in Singapore on May 16, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers that have capped recent highs, such as today's likely 29°C peak amid cloudy conditions and 84 mm rainfall in some areas. Official Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts a 34°C high under inter-monsoon patterns with southwest winds and recurrent convection from sea breezes, but climatological May norms of 31-33°C are often moderated by such cloud cover suppressing solar heating. The latest fortnightly outlook projects 33-34°C most days with showers on most afternoons, yet traders anticipate continuation of this cooling influence, with updates due at 6 p.m. today and tomorrow potentially refining model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,362Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 37.5% implied probability for a 30°C daily maximum temperature in Singapore on May 16, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers that have capped recent highs, such as today's likely 29°C peak amid cloudy conditions and 84 mm rainfall in some areas. Official Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts a 34°C high under inter-monsoon patterns with southwest winds and recurrent convection from sea breezes, but climatological May norms of 31-33°C are often moderated by such cloud cover suppressing solar heating. The latest fortnightly outlook projects 33-34°C most days with showers on most afternoons, yet traders anticipate continuation of this cooling influence, with updates due at 6 p.m. today and tomorrow potentially refining model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$33,362Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 37.5% implied probability for a 30°C daily maximum temperature in Singapore on May 16, reflecting persistent afternoon thundery showers that have capped recent highs, such as today's likely 29°C peak amid cloudy conditions and 84 mm rainfall in some areas. Official Meteorological Service Singapore forecasts a 34°C high under inter-monsoon patterns with southwest winds and recurrent convection from sea breezes, but climatological May norms of 31-33°C are often moderated by such cloud cover suppressing solar heating. The latest fortnightly outlook projects 33-34°C most days with showers on most afternoons, yet traders anticipate continuation of this cooling influence, with updates due at 6 p.m. today and tomorrow potentially refining model consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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