Trader consensus on Moscow's May 15 high temperature clusters around 20–22°C, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest guidance of 20–22°C daytime maxima amid 85% precipitation probability and light southerly winds at 2 m/s. International models reinforce this, with YR.no at 20°C maximum (8.3 mm rain), BBC Weather projecting 21°C under thundery showers, and EaseWeather at 23°C with patchy rain—reflecting a 1–3°C ensemble spread typical of short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include cloud cover timing from an approaching frontal system, which could suppress peaks at 20°C via reduced solar insolation, versus transient clears allowing 22°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Yesterday's 22–24°C high signals mild above-normal conditions (historical mid-May average ~18°C), but showers introduce variability; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS may sharpen odds before official VVC station measurements resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
22°C 18.6%
19°C 13%
MỚI
$14,308 KL.
MỚI
$14,308 KL.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
32%
21°C
30%
22°C
19%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 32%
21°C 30%
22°C 18.6%
19°C 13%
MỚI
$14,308 KL.
MỚI
$14,308 KL.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
$1,071 KL.
<1%
17°C
$951 KL.
1%
18°C
$1,555 KL.
2%
19°C
$560 KL.
13%
20°C
$526 KL.
32%
21°C
$1,532 KL.
30%
22°C
$2,320 KL.
19%
23°C
$1,621 KL.
5%
24°C
$1,139 KL.
3%
25°C
$1,107 KL.
1%
26°C or higher
$1,928 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Moscow's May 15 high temperature clusters around 20–22°C, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest guidance of 20–22°C daytime maxima amid 85% precipitation probability and light southerly winds at 2 m/s. International models reinforce this, with YR.no at 20°C maximum (8.3 mm rain), BBC Weather projecting 21°C under thundery showers, and EaseWeather at 23°C with patchy rain—reflecting a 1–3°C ensemble spread typical of short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include cloud cover timing from an approaching frontal system, which could suppress peaks at 20°C via reduced solar insolation, versus transient clears allowing 22°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Yesterday's 22–24°C high signals mild above-normal conditions (historical mid-May average ~18°C), but showers introduce variability; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS may sharpen odds before official VVC station measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,308Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Moscow's May 15 high temperature clusters around 20–22°C, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest guidance of 20–22°C daytime maxima amid 85% precipitation probability and light southerly winds at 2 m/s. International models reinforce this, with YR.no at 20°C maximum (8.3 mm rain), BBC Weather projecting 21°C under thundery showers, and EaseWeather at 23°C with patchy rain—reflecting a 1–3°C ensemble spread typical of short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include cloud cover timing from an approaching frontal system, which could suppress peaks at 20°C via reduced solar insolation, versus transient clears allowing 22°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Yesterday's 22–24°C high signals mild above-normal conditions (historical mid-May average ~18°C), but showers introduce variability; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS may sharpen odds before official VVC station measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$14,308Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Moscow's May 15 high temperature clusters around 20–22°C, driven by the Russian Hydrometeorological Centre's latest guidance of 20–22°C daytime maxima amid 85% precipitation probability and light southerly winds at 2 m/s. International models reinforce this, with YR.no at 20°C maximum (8.3 mm rain), BBC Weather projecting 21°C under thundery showers, and EaseWeather at 23°C with patchy rain—reflecting a 1–3°C ensemble spread typical of short-range uncertainty. Differentiating factors include cloud cover timing from an approaching frontal system, which could suppress peaks at 20°C via reduced solar insolation, versus transient clears allowing 22°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Yesterday's 22–24°C high signals mild above-normal conditions (historical mid-May average ~18°C), but showers introduce variability; evening model runs from ECMWF and GFS may sharpen odds before official VVC station measurements resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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