Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 14?
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$86,948 KL.
$86,948 KL.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$86,948 KL.
$86,948 KL.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station (LEMD), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21°C on May 14, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on this outcome. AEMET data aligns closely, with nearby stations like Retiro recording 21.7°C and Ciudad Universitaria 22.9°C, amid persistent cloud cover from a recent frontal system and cool northerly flow that limited solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating below typical mid-May averages of 23–24°C. ECMWF and AEMET forecast models had converged on mild maxima of 20–22°C in the days prior, reflecting these atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data revisions or station-specific microclimate discrepancies could theoretically prompt review; no further updates are expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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