Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime heating and positioning 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. This stable atmospheric setup favors modest afternoon maxima near 21–23°C, with cooler 21°C and warmer 23°C outcomes each holding roughly 22% odds due to minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before May 17, keeping extremes such as 24°C or above below 10% combined probability. Official AEMET guidance and updated model runs through the weekend reinforce this narrow temperature band without notable revisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 39%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
22%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$1,103 KL.
<1%
18°C
$438 KL.
<1%
19°C
$521 KL.
1%
20°C
$515 KL.
6%
21°C
$1,246 KL.
23%
22°C
$870 KL.
39%
23°C
$559 KL.
22%
24°C
$386 KL.
9%
25°C
$408 KL.
1%
26°C
$226 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$168 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime heating and positioning 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. This stable atmospheric setup favors modest afternoon maxima near 21–23°C, with cooler 21°C and warmer 23°C outcomes each holding roughly 22% odds due to minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before May 17, keeping extremes such as 24°C or above below 10% combined probability. Official AEMET guidance and updated model runs through the weekend reinforce this narrow temperature band without notable revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,438Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime heating and positioning 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. This stable atmospheric setup favors modest afternoon maxima near 21–23°C, with cooler 21°C and warmer 23°C outcomes each holding roughly 22% odds due to minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before May 17, keeping extremes such as 24°C or above below 10% combined probability. Official AEMET guidance and updated model runs through the weekend reinforce this narrow temperature band without notable revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$6,438Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System maintain a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, limiting daytime heating and positioning 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability. This stable atmospheric setup favors modest afternoon maxima near 21–23°C, with cooler 21°C and warmer 23°C outcomes each holding roughly 22% odds due to minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. No significant frontal passages or moisture surges are expected to alter the pattern before May 17, keeping extremes such as 24°C or above below 10% combined probability. Official AEMET guidance and updated model runs through the weekend reinforce this narrow temperature band without notable revisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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