Recent meteorological model consensus from European forecast centers positions a maximum of 24°C as the most probable outcome for Madrid on May 18, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble runs show afternoon temperatures clustering tightly between 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal risk of significant cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the daily high. This aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average maxima reach 22–24°C, and recent observational trends from the past 48 hours indicate no rapid warming or cooling signals. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and AEMET model cycles, which will refine boundary-layer details ahead of the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 18?
24°C 39%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$240 KL.
<1%
19°C
$104 KL.
<1%
20°C
$676 KL.
1%
21°C
$96 KL.
3%
22°C
$161 KL.
11%
23°C
$379 KL.
25%
24°C
$170 KL.
39%
25°C
$451 KL.
19%
26°C
$127 KL.
6%
27°C
$181 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$208 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from European forecast centers positions a maximum of 24°C as the most probable outcome for Madrid on May 18, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble runs show afternoon temperatures clustering tightly between 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal risk of significant cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the daily high. This aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average maxima reach 22–24°C, and recent observational trends from the past 48 hours indicate no rapid warming or cooling signals. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and AEMET model cycles, which will refine boundary-layer details ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,750Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological model consensus from European forecast centers positions a maximum of 24°C as the most probable outcome for Madrid on May 18, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble runs show afternoon temperatures clustering tightly between 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal risk of significant cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the daily high. This aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average maxima reach 22–24°C, and recent observational trends from the past 48 hours indicate no rapid warming or cooling signals. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and AEMET model cycles, which will refine boundary-layer details ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$2,750Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent meteorological model consensus from European forecast centers positions a maximum of 24°C as the most probable outcome for Madrid on May 18, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic. Ensemble runs show afternoon temperatures clustering tightly between 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal risk of significant cloud cover or frontal passage that could suppress the daily high. This aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May, when average maxima reach 22–24°C, and recent observational trends from the past 48 hours indicate no rapid warming or cooling signals. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and AEMET model cycles, which will refine boundary-layer details ahead of the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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