Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting runs of the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Buenos Aires on May 16, supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal air mass combined with moderate southerly flow continues to limit daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19°C. Variable cloud cover and light winds add only a narrow 1–2°C uncertainty band that traders have priced accordingly. Afternoon observations at the resolution station could still shift the final peak slightly higher if skies clear more than expected, but current model consensus and real-time data keep 14°C firmly favored.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$59,602 KL.
$59,602 KL.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$59,602 KL.
$59,602 KL.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting runs of the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature of 14°C for Buenos Aires on May 16, supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal air mass combined with moderate southerly flow continues to limit daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19°C. Variable cloud cover and light winds add only a narrow 1–2°C uncertainty band that traders have priced accordingly. Afternoon observations at the resolution station could still shift the final peak slightly higher if skies clear more than expected, but current model consensus and real-time data keep 14°C firmly favored.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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