Forecast models from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF currently cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 17 near 14–15 °C. This positioning reflects a post-frontal air mass that has suppressed temperatures below the month’s climatological average of roughly 17–19 °C, with moderate southerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating. The near-even split between the 14 °C and 15 °C contracts captures the remaining uncertainty tied to variable cloud breaks and localized urban effects at the official Aeroparque or Ezeiza stations. Updated model runs and morning observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 33%
15°C 29%
13°C 22%
16°C 9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
33%
15°C
29%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 33%
15°C 29%
13°C 22%
16°C 9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
33%
15°C
29%
16°C
9%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZForecast models from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF currently cluster the expected daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 17 near 14–15 °C. This positioning reflects a post-frontal air mass that has suppressed temperatures below the month’s climatological average of roughly 17–19 °C, with moderate southerly flow and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating. The near-even split between the 14 °C and 15 °C contracts captures the remaining uncertainty tied to variable cloud breaks and localized urban effects at the official Aeroparque or Ezeiza stations. Updated model runs and morning observations over the next 48 hours will be the key inputs traders monitor before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp