Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies a São Paulo high temperature of 20°C or below at 66%, propelled by the latest INMET forecasts and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a maximum near 19°C as a frente fria—cold front bearing polar air—sweeps in today, May 15. This system merges oceanic cooling with heightened cloudiness and 65% rain probability, stifling solar heating far under May's climatological average high of 23°C. Over the past 48 hours, converging model runs have solidified this outlook, eroding odds for 21°C-plus outcomes amid the autumn transition to cooler patterns. Yet, weather forecasts carry uncertainty; monitor INMET's hourly station data at Congonhas or Mirante for final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 15?
20°C or below 56.1%
21°C 20%
22°C 10%
23°C 3.0%
$48,209 KL.
$48,209 KL.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
65%
21°C
20%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 56.1%
21°C 20%
22°C 10%
23°C 3.0%
$48,209 KL.
$48,209 KL.
May 15, 2026
20°C or below
$10,135 KL.
65%
21°C
$4,757 KL.
20%
22°C
$5,674 KL.
10%
23°C
$5,375 KL.
3%
24°C
$4,519 KL.
1%
25°C
$5,464 KL.
<1%
26°C
$3,864 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,911 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,734 KL.
<1%
29°C
$833 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,045 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies a São Paulo high temperature of 20°C or below at 66%, propelled by the latest INMET forecasts and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a maximum near 19°C as a frente fria—cold front bearing polar air—sweeps in today, May 15. This system merges oceanic cooling with heightened cloudiness and 65% rain probability, stifling solar heating far under May's climatological average high of 23°C. Over the past 48 hours, converging model runs have solidified this outlook, eroding odds for 21°C-plus outcomes amid the autumn transition to cooler patterns. Yet, weather forecasts carry uncertainty; monitor INMET's hourly station data at Congonhas or Mirante for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,209Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies a São Paulo high temperature of 20°C or below at 66%, propelled by the latest INMET forecasts and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a maximum near 19°C as a frente fria—cold front bearing polar air—sweeps in today, May 15. This system merges oceanic cooling with heightened cloudiness and 65% rain probability, stifling solar heating far under May's climatological average high of 23°C. Over the past 48 hours, converging model runs have solidified this outlook, eroding odds for 21°C-plus outcomes amid the autumn transition to cooler patterns. Yet, weather forecasts carry uncertainty; monitor INMET's hourly station data at Congonhas or Mirante for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$48,209Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies a São Paulo high temperature of 20°C or below at 66%, propelled by the latest INMET forecasts and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a maximum near 19°C as a frente fria—cold front bearing polar air—sweeps in today, May 15. This system merges oceanic cooling with heightened cloudiness and 65% rain probability, stifling solar heating far under May's climatological average high of 23°C. Over the past 48 hours, converging model runs have solidified this outlook, eroding odds for 21°C-plus outcomes amid the autumn transition to cooler patterns. Yet, weather forecasts carry uncertainty; monitor INMET's hourly station data at Congonhas or Mirante for final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp