Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high of 13°C at 39.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over Central Europe. Polar airflow has suppressed temperatures, with ground frost warnings through May 13 night and today's May 14 highs barely reaching 12°C amid graupel and rain, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C. Thick overcast limits solar heating, positioning 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.0%) as next contenders. New DWD advisories and afternoon model updates could refine landfall odds for isolated clearing, but significant warming remains unlikely before resolution at Munich Airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
13°C 39%
12°C 26%
14°C 20%
15°C 11%
MỚI
$19,238 KL.
MỚI
$19,238 KL.
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
26%
13°C
39%
14°C
20%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 39%
12°C 26%
14°C 20%
15°C 11%
MỚI
$19,238 KL.
MỚI
$19,238 KL.
May 15, 2026
7°C or below
$807 KL.
<1%
8°C
$994 KL.
<1%
9°C
$1,470 KL.
<1%
10°C
$463 KL.
1%
11°C
$1,237 KL.
3%
12°C
$2,123 KL.
26%
13°C
$1,403 KL.
39%
14°C
$2,763 KL.
20%
15°C
$2,207 KL.
11%
16°C
$2,838 KL.
1%
17°C or higher
$3,000 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high of 13°C at 39.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over Central Europe. Polar airflow has suppressed temperatures, with ground frost warnings through May 13 night and today's May 14 highs barely reaching 12°C amid graupel and rain, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C. Thick overcast limits solar heating, positioning 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.0%) as next contenders. New DWD advisories and afternoon model updates could refine landfall odds for isolated clearing, but significant warming remains unlikely before resolution at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,238Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high of 13°C at 39.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over Central Europe. Polar airflow has suppressed temperatures, with ground frost warnings through May 13 night and today's May 14 highs barely reaching 12°C amid graupel and rain, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C. Thick overcast limits solar heating, positioning 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.0%) as next contenders. New DWD advisories and afternoon model updates could refine landfall odds for isolated clearing, but significant warming remains unlikely before resolution at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$19,238Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high of 13°C at 39.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over Central Europe. Polar airflow has suppressed temperatures, with ground frost warnings through May 13 night and today's May 14 highs barely reaching 12°C amid graupel and rain, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C. Thick overcast limits solar heating, positioning 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.0%) as next contenders. New DWD advisories and afternoon model updates could refine landfall odds for isolated clearing, but significant warming remains unlikely before resolution at Munich Airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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