Met Office forecasts indicate London's lowest temperature on May 19 at around 12°C, with BBC Weather aligning at 13°C low amid light rain and southwesterly breezes, reflecting trader sentiment toward mild spring conditions slightly above the historical May average of 9°C at Heathrow. This positioning stems from the recent early-May cold snap—driven by Arctic air and northerly flows that dropped UK temperatures below average—now transitioning to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing overnight minima. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports this, though cloud cover introduces uncertainty, potentially varying the low by 1-2°C. Daily updates from the Met Office through May 18 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on May 19?
Lowest temperature in London on May 19?
15°C or higher 41%
12°C 27%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
6%
9°C
17%
10°C
15%
11°C
23%
12°C
27%
13°C
19%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
41%
15°C or higher 41%
12°C 27%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
4%
8°C
6%
9°C
17%
10°C
15%
11°C
23%
12°C
27%
13°C
19%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCMet Office forecasts indicate London's lowest temperature on May 19 at around 12°C, with BBC Weather aligning at 13°C low amid light rain and southwesterly breezes, reflecting trader sentiment toward mild spring conditions slightly above the historical May average of 9°C at Heathrow. This positioning stems from the recent early-May cold snap—driven by Arctic air and northerly flows that dropped UK temperatures below average—now transitioning to a high-pressure ridge stabilizing overnight minima. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports this, though cloud cover introduces uncertainty, potentially varying the low by 1-2°C. Daily updates from the Met Office through May 18 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp