Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London's overnight minimum on May 17 clustering tightly between 9 °C and 11 °C, producing the near-even trader split among those three outcomes. A mild southwesterly airflow advects relatively warm Atlantic air across southern England, while scattered overnight cloud cover limits radiative cooling under clear skies. This pattern aligns with the long-term May climatology at Heathrow, where the average minimum sits near 9 °C. Model divergence stems mainly from small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds overnight could push the reading toward the lower end of the range, while increased cloud cover would favor the higher side.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on May 17?
Lowest temperature in London on May 17?
11°C 32%
9°C 29%
10°C 28%
8°C 8.0%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
29%
10°C
30%
11°C
32%
12°C or higher
2%
11°C 32%
9°C 29%
10°C 28%
8°C 8.0%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$170 KL.
<1%
3°C
$337 KL.
<1%
4°C
$254 KL.
<1%
5°C
$293 KL.
<1%
6°C
$466 KL.
<1%
7°C
$309 KL.
1%
8°C
$485 KL.
8%
9°C
$97 KL.
29%
10°C
$104 KL.
30%
11°C
$132 KL.
32%
12°C or higher
$416 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London's overnight minimum on May 17 clustering tightly between 9 °C and 11 °C, producing the near-even trader split among those three outcomes. A mild southwesterly airflow advects relatively warm Atlantic air across southern England, while scattered overnight cloud cover limits radiative cooling under clear skies. This pattern aligns with the long-term May climatology at Heathrow, where the average minimum sits near 9 °C. Model divergence stems mainly from small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds overnight could push the reading toward the lower end of the range, while increased cloud cover would favor the higher side.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,062Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London's overnight minimum on May 17 clustering tightly between 9 °C and 11 °C, producing the near-even trader split among those three outcomes. A mild southwesterly airflow advects relatively warm Atlantic air across southern England, while scattered overnight cloud cover limits radiative cooling under clear skies. This pattern aligns with the long-term May climatology at Heathrow, where the average minimum sits near 9 °C. Model divergence stems mainly from small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds overnight could push the reading toward the lower end of the range, while increased cloud cover would favor the higher side.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,062Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London's overnight minimum on May 17 clustering tightly between 9 °C and 11 °C, producing the near-even trader split among those three outcomes. A mild southwesterly airflow advects relatively warm Atlantic air across southern England, while scattered overnight cloud cover limits radiative cooling under clear skies. This pattern aligns with the long-term May climatology at Heathrow, where the average minimum sits near 9 °C. Model divergence stems mainly from small differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; any shift toward clearer skies or stronger winds overnight could push the reading toward the lower end of the range, while increased cloud cover would favor the higher side.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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